| one of the Fall 2004 DIST Colloquium Series ( Download Flyer ) | ||||
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“ How
Beneficial can a Medical Decision Support System
be? ” |
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Abstract:
The last decade has seen a number of practical decision
support systems based on the normative principles of probability
theory and decision theory. While, on theoretical grounds, such
systems can be expected to perform well and be useful in practice,
there is still little empirical data that would validate this
expectation. In this talk I will present a study conducted
in order to validate a normative decision support system in a
laboratory setting. The study compares performance of HEPAR II, a
medical system for diagnosis of liver disorders, with the
performance of general practitioners on ten randomly selected
patient cases with histopathologically confirmed diagnosis. The
results are encouraging: HEPAR II's diagnostic
accuracy was 40% higher than the best of the physicians'. The
study also tests the effect of system's suggestions on the
ultimate diagnosis indicated by the physicians. Here the results
are encouraging as well: system's advice doubled the accuracy of
the physicians. |
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